Friday, October 28, 2016
Big Lead story..... It is not there...... Instead we see a great deal of fracturing as expected from a much warmer October Arctic Ocean.
What we have just observed was the result of a complex chain of events which essentially rendered early winter densest pack ice much weaker, laced thousands of leads giving away heat enough to foster lingering Cyclones to keep the Arctic Ocean mostly covered with clouds. A few days ago, the coldest air was from the center of Canadian Arctic Archipelago, and lesser over Northeast Russia merged. Just before, EX Hurricane Nicole pushed a segment of the North Atlantic jet stream deep towards the North Pole, to the South of the stream was an Anticyclone which helped consolidate Higher pressure over Center of Arctic Ocean making join the 2 coldest air zones from the continents.
We now see how bad the densest sea ice is, in effect a broken up shadow of its former self, a collage of thousands of pieces just freezing together at this time. Sea ice dynamics are now drastically different. Expect the unexpected from this time onwards. WD October 28, 2016.