ENSO shift? Not seeing accostumed sea surface temperature platform chart, puts single station forecasting/projections to the test

 ~Not reading fresh NOAA sst maps makes ENSO forecasting harder

       Ground hog April 7 day, not renewed NOAA SST chart,  with a stuck in the past one day display, at least suggested then, a return to El-Nino.  There has been no daily production since.  Kind of removing an important forecasting tool.  

  Luckily, U of Maine reanalyzer posits otherwise.:

A reversal?  At least it reads so here, but everything is blurred again, the North Pacific strong sea temperature mega blob nesses ENDO predictions a great deal, especially from an Arctic point of viewing.  

May 19 2025 Massive Arctic cloudiness, multi layered, long lasting,  would, according to  ENSO cloud seeding theory,  suggest a return of El-Nino.  But it appears that the great North Pacific sea surface heat  blob,  much more so than  Atlantic influence let alone ENSO gyrations, will once again save the Arctic Ocean sea ice from total obliteration. 

The MIMIC look is astounding, wave after wave of Northward moisture, likely to continue all summer,  ensures little chance for a 2207 like July mega melt.  Indeed to  be enforcing, as projected, a quasi permanent Low pressure sitting a top the Arctic Ocean basin Gyre area.

    Likely spared summer sea ice does not mean recovery,  the Arctic sea ice Maximum is shrinking every spring, the ice is equally thinning every melt season as well.      WD May 20, 2025