~2013 like Gyre stall possible but 2016 July icescape not at all like 2013.
April 2016 EH2r projection called for a June July High pressure centred about the Pole, this is happening now, but had a real hard time establishing itself. Since June, Atlantic and Pacific Cyclones constantly penetrated the Arctic Ocean region. There is only one reason for that, open water, especially mixed with broken sea ice. There is a heat engine complex, in particular next to more consolidated ice from the Pole to North American side of Arctic, which is where the Anticyclones have a chance to last. But the Arctic North American Arctic Quadrant sea ice has a problem, more snow fell over it during the winter, due to winter 2015-16 dominant circulation pattern, North Atlantic moisture shed itself there . As you might have read, more snow is a twin edged sword, it protects sea ice in spring, but also slows down accretion appreciably over the winter. The pressure dipole now forming between Canadian Arctic Archipelago (more ice) and North of Siberia (less ice) will dominate this period for a while, until the weaker state of sea ice, on the Canadian side of Pole, will reveal itself after the protective snow cover vanishes completely.WD July 7, 2016