~Cloud seeds in the high Arctic starting to show at 4 degrees above the horizon
Dr Masters caught this NOAA statement:
”An increasing number of models suggest the possible onset of El Niño. Strong surface westerly winds in the western Pacific and the slight eastward shift of above-average temperatures in the subsurface western Pacific potentially portend warming in the coming months.”
NOAA may be referring in part to this:
These graphs done by the Earth & Space Research Institute acknowledge a sea current output (in blue) which usually precedes the sea surface temperature trend. As the top graph demonstrates, ENSO sst's
will rise soon.
In the high Arctic, I have recently observed higher than troposphere dark cloud streaks above the horizon, they showed 4 degrees above the horizon on most days, and closely reflect the same equatorial Pacific sst trend, what needs be observed is higher than 4 degrees horizon clouds:
March 2010 El-Nino was already fading , High Arctic persistent stratospheric streaks reached 10 degrees above the horizon.
zoomed October 2010 stratospheric black cloud streaks mixed with some bright ones, these coincided with the end of El-Nino of 2010, these streaks were as high as 5 degrees above the horizon. Presently 4 degrees was seen many times.
Confidence is High , El-Nino is likely returning this year, the Global Circulation will change accordingly, this will affect sea ice melt of 2014 in 2 ways; 1 there will be more clouds, and 2 the persistent Arctic cyclonic presence of summer of 2013, the pattern making it so may be changed. WD Feb7, 2014