~ Contrary to fringe media gossipers bent on lying and ignorance, science at times can be prophetic;
less frequent but very strong hurricanes are at play. As published in a journal many years ago (since at least 2005).
First system formed
June 8, 2005
Last system dissipated
January 6, 2006
(record latest, tied with 1954)
Strongest storm Name
Wilma (Most intense hurricane in the Atlantic basin)
• Maximum winds
185 mph (295 km/h)
(1-minute sustained)
• Lowest pressure
Seasonal statistics
Total depressions
31 (record high)
Total storms
28 (record high)
Hurricanes
15 (record high)
Major hurricanes (Cat. 3+)
7 (record high, tied with 1961)
Total fatalities
3,913 total
Total damage
$158.9 billion (2005 USD)
(Costliest tropical cyclone season on record)
First system formed
April 19, 2017
Last system dissipated
Season ongoing
Strongest storm Name
• Maximum winds
185 mph (295 km/h) (1-minute sustained)
• Lowest pressure
Seasonal statistics
Total depressions
12
Total storms
11
Hurricanes
6
Major hurricanes (Cat. 3+)
3
Total fatalities
91 total
Total damage
> $70 billion (2017 USD)
The past 12 years were not exactly busy ones for hurricanes, quite unlike typhoons.
the South Atlantic has its own weather factors going, namely its smaller size than the Pacific, ENSO influence and the effects of dust from the Sahara desert. The latter was observed in late July falling over South Texas. Perhaps the Saharan dust plume relinquished in later August letting the hurricanes form without dust impediments:
March 2017 Saharan dust plume North Africa is seen to the upper right. It makes a great deal of sense that dust may simply inhibit hurricane development, also likely a warmer planet, in turn Sahara, will diminish the number of hurricanes forming. Hence the likely further warming of "uncooled" South Atlantic sea water, as it is known, that hurricanes mix the underlying lower cooler layer of sea water with the very warm surface sea under its path. The further warmed more stable sea water may give incredibly stronger hurricanes whenever the conditions are ripe.
The good news , certainly needed, is that the last Arctic cell of massively cold air exists at this time in the Greenland-Ellesmere-Devon-North Baffin region, is as strong as can be according to current High Arctic vertical sun disk measurements, quite compressed, similar to March even though the density weighted temperatures are 10 degrees warmer. The mid to higher upper atmosphere is much cooler because there is less clouds than over the rest of the Arctic. This cooling positions the jet stream and or circulation directly further South towards where the hurricanes are. This is a better scenario than what happened with Harvey in Texas. WD September 7, 2017
No comments:
Post a Comment